The dollar gained in early trading as investors sought to hedge against rising geopolitical risks following the U.S. attack on Iran.
The U.S. currency gained slightly against the euro and most other major currencies as markets began the week in Asia. Crude oil futures rose and U.S. equity contracts fell as the bombings stoked demand for security and concerns about energy supplies. Government bonds edged higher.
"We expect some risk relief, but not aggressively," said Diego Fernandez, chief investment officer at A&G Banco in Madrid. "The world may be a safer place without the Iranian nuclear threat, but we still need to see how Iran reacts and how the conflict evolves."
The market reaction has been generally muted since Israel's initial strikes on Iran earlier this month: Even after falling for the past two weeks, the S&P 500 is only about 3% below its all-time high from February. And a Bloomberg gauge of the U.S. dollar is up less than 1% since the June 13 attacks.
That's largely because investors expect the conflict to be localized, with no broader impact on the global economy. But the moves could be more significant if Iran responds to the latest developments with moves such as blocking the Strait of Hormuz, a key shipping route for oil and gas, or attacking U.S. forces in the region, market watchers said.
"It all depends on how the conflict develops, and things seem to be changing by the hour," said Evgenia Molotova, a senior investment manager at Pictet Asset Management. "The only way they will take it seriously is if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked because that would affect access to oil."
Iran has vowed to impose "lasting consequences" for the bombing and said it has every option to defend its sovereignty. Meanwhile, Israel has continued its attacks, targeting military sites in Tehran and western Iran.
"This marks a turning point for the market," said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo Markets in Singapore. "The question is whether U.S. assets can still command a premium as a safe haven asset." However, the decline is likely to be limited as some market participants have braced for a worsening conflict. The MSCI All Country World Index has fallen 1.5% since Israel attacked Iran on June 13. Fund managers have reduced their holdings, stocks are no longer overbought and demand for hedges has increased, meaning a major sell-off is unlikely at these levels. (alg)
Source: Bloomberg
The U.S. dollar rose on Friday, a day after falling on a surge in U.S. jobless claims and modest inflation, as investors expected the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next week after a roughly ni...
The US dollar weakened on Friday after a surge in jobless claims and a moderate rise in inflation made markets increasingly confident that the Fed would cut interest rates next week—and possibly furth...
The US dollar held steady early in the Asian session after the PPI data fell 0.1% in August, reinforcing expectations that the Fed would cut interest rates next week. The Dollar Index edged up to 97.8...
The US dollar held steady on Wednesday (September 10th) ahead of US inflation data this week that could help shape the Federal Reserve's policy outlook, while tense geopolitical conditions supported c...
The dollar index held around 97.8 on Wednesday after firming in the prior session, as investors awaited key inflation reports that could influence the Federal Reserve's policy stance. The producer pr...
Oil prices rose on Friday after a Ukrainian drone attack suspended loadings from the largest port in western Russia, but gains were capped by concerns about U.S. demand. Brent crude futures settled at $66.99 a barrel, up 62 cents, or 0.93%. U.S....
The Nasdaq Composite notched a perfect week of closing highs on Friday as investors took signs of weakening jobs and tame inflation to mean the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next week. The tech-heavy Nasdaq closed 0.44% higher to...
Gold prices rise over 0.44% during Friday's North American session as weaker than expected jobs market data increased the chances that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates next week. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $3,649...
The International Monetary Fund on Thursday said the Federal Reserve has scope to lower interest rates because of the weakening U.S. labor market,...
The Federal Reserve is likely to start a series of interest-rate cuts next week and keep going through the end of the year, traders bet on Wednesday...
Producer inflation in the United States, as measured by the change in the Producer Price Index (PPI), fell to 2.6% annually in August from 3.3% in...
Annual inflation in the United States (US), as measured by changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), rose to 2.9% in August from 2.7% in July, the...